Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.548383 5.411817 6.371577 7.514216 8.834051 10.307101 12.071906
2025-08-03 3.277787 4.380096 5.730813 7.494095 9.719991 12.419997 15.924456
2025-08-10 2.400632 3.544838 5.067725 7.213663 10.125026 13.898064 19.110874
2025-08-17 1.826378 2.946622 4.549574 6.961690 10.439316 15.200469 22.122900
2025-08-24 1.483426 2.588656 4.273669 6.956939 11.030250 16.868844 25.723335
2025-08-31 1.232055 2.311412 4.055078 6.976872 11.620058 18.548802 29.448088
2025-09-07 1.018995 2.049301 3.807923 6.899032 12.024125 19.959278 32.863225
2025-09-14 0.811914 1.752337 3.448941 6.576001 11.981072 20.654853 35.218240
2025-09-21 0.688348 1.583814 3.281612 6.545336 12.396259 22.082035 38.798653
2025-09-28 0.586653 1.436514 3.126897 6.509325 12.785437 23.481681 42.420507
2025-10-05 0.549841 1.417238 3.211365 6.919786 13.993402 26.331139 48.622893
2025-10-12 0.496822 1.351133 3.191422 7.124314 14.840346 28.617931 54.023871
2025-10-19 0.459057 1.315075 3.232500 7.462698 15.986081 31.544406 60.786012
2025-10-26 0.398363 1.210495 3.111275 7.455989 16.471558 33.331148 65.684408
2025-11-02 0.328840 1.066506 2.878015 7.180766 16.396009 34.079228 68.769623
2025-11-09 0.272580 0.943407 2.670888 6.930984 16.338587 34.844217 71.921428
2025-11-16 0.238186 0.873483 2.579425 6.926612 16.784572 36.594299 77.006906
2025-11-23 0.209689 0.813810 2.503323 6.946579 17.280802 38.472343 82.446815
2025-11-30 0.181032 0.745699 2.393134 6.869071 17.552889 39.917710 87.135274
2025-12-07 0.147765 0.651943 2.195717 6.547292 17.240997 40.146971 89.442339
2025-12-14 0.129065 0.603683 2.117268 6.516749 17.591680 41.766885 94.615852
2025-12-21 0.112706 0.558989 2.040948 6.480878 17.924288 43.367850 99.841635
2025-12-28 0.109822 0.566657 2.125274 6.889760 19.362511 47.432572 110.360170